Votel: U.S. Must Define Iran End State Before Launching New Strikes
The former U.S. Central Command chief argues that economic pressure and a clear objective are necessary to resolve the conflict, as missile defense stocks face potential strain.
By David Almasi ·
The United States is weighing a new round of joint strikes with Israel against Iran. Retired Army Gen. Joseph Votel, who led U.S. Central Command from 2016 to 2019, assessed the likely impact of such a campaign in an interview with NPR.
Votel, who currently chairs the Combating Terrorism Center at West Point, stated that fresh attacks would likely only buy time. He noted that many targets have been hit previously and that Iran has demonstrated the ability to rebuild its capabilities. While strikes can punish Tehran and degrade specific systems, Votel argued they have not yet altered the strategic calculus governing the war's trajectory.
The general emphasized that the first requirement for success is a clearly defined objective. He identified two primary goals: resolving the nuclear enrichment issue and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Votel explained that Washington must explicitly state what the end state looks like and how the war will be declared finished. He argued that military force is only one component of national power and must be supported by economic, diplomatic, and information pressure.
On the economic front, Votel pointed to the blockade and sanctions as areas showing visible progress. He cited reporting that Iran's ghost fleet has exhausted its oil supplies. He described this approach as slower but effective, noting definite movement in that direction. He also linked the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to domestic economic benefits, specifically the reduction of gas and diesel prices in the United States.
Votel acknowledged that U.S. aims have been difficult to read but maintained that the principal worries remain the strait and the nuclear program. He also noted that Iran uses proxies, including the Houthis, to create regional instability. To bring Iran to the negotiating table, he stressed the need for a coordinated use of tools and the patience to see that approach through.
Regarding military readiness, Votel stated that American offensive power in the region is substantial. He identified missile defense as the potential constraint. He explained that while the ability to strike is not in question, defensive interceptors protecting U.S. forces and regional partners face pressure. He assessed that offensive capability is adequate, while defense may face limitations.
